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First part of short
and longer term prediction about Greece eurozone was posted last
week on this and other blogs
In part 1 of our
prediction posted few days back we predicted new beginning for Greece away from
austerity driven policy environment hence a bigger role fro parties like
Syriza.
In part 2 our
intention was to see how outcome in Greece would affect forex
markets trades in Euro and some key stock market indics. Our
intention was to derive outcome of Greece elections based on predicted
trend in these financial indicators
The results here in
part 2 seem to agree with prediction of short and medium term nature posted
earlier-Likely vote for Change in Greece.
Warning and disclaimer:We expected to see strong one
way movement in predicted variables but were surprised to find corrections
deepening/occurring around mid week( Wed-Thursday.If correct, This may be
indicative of delay in Greece government formation
Part 2-Fallout of
Greek elections on Euro,World Markets for week June 18-22
Forex
|
Prediction for this
week
|
EURUSD
|
Sharpest correction around mid week. Sell on Early week
rise
|
EURJPY
|
Sharpest correction around mid week. Sell on Early week
rise
|
EURGBP
|
Sharpest correction around mid week. Sell on Early week
rise
|
EURCHF
|
Sharpest correction around mid
week. Sell on Early week rise
|
EURYuan
|
Sharpest correction around mid week. Sell on Early week
rise
|
Stock market indices
|
|
Dax30
|
Mid week correction after early rise
|
CAC40
|
Mid week correction
|
Dow30/Sp500
|
Relative outperformer but does not escape mid week
correction
|
Sensex
|
Peaks by mid week but looses steam
|
Athens Index
|
Sharp correction but end week bounceback
|
Overall( both forex
and Stock markets)
|
Emphasis is on overall trend not on individual
markets.Most indices show “shock correction” mid week but recover
|
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