Showing posts with label Delhi Election Predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Delhi Election Predictions. Show all posts

Friday, February 06, 2015

Prediction of Delhi elections 2015 will Aap prove to e BAAP of BJP







For last three weeks or so we have tweeting the prediction for Delhi Elections based on Tarot and astrology maintaining
* BJP will miss majority but still be part of govt and likely to lead it
*These predictions have been maintained in spite of widely varying opinion polls both over time and over channels

We have now completed full Tarot model and astrology based prediction model for Delhi elections 2015

We have done seat projection- prediction using tarot model using 2 approaches a)  testing for maximum likelihood of winning for 2 key parties BJP and Aam Aadmi party in various seat ranges b) finding party likely to win in various constituencies.38~40 constituencies covered were projected to all 70 seats


Our predictions ---at variance with most opinion polls --are as follows

1 BJP Likely to miss majority by few seats most likely to be hit 31-33 seats
2 AAP seat prediction is slightly les certain but in range  26-33
3 Second prediction approach pointing to photo finish with AAP 1/2 seats behind BJP
4 why are we maintaining BJP  finishing slightly ahead.?
5 Role of astrology- in our blogpost on this blog www.worldofpredictions.blogspost.in www.allpredidtions.blogspot.in after AAP formation we predicted stunning rise of AAP  based on its horoscope and predicted return of Arvind Kejriwal. As CM possibly in 2017
However if choice for CM is between Kiran Bedi and Arvind Kejriwal chart for Kiran Bedi and BJP around this time is stronger suggesting advantage for CM and possibly Arvind Kejriwal could get his turn later
5 Tarot cards separately drawn also suggest Kiran Bedi more likely to be next CM (but unlikely to complete full term.)especially if decisions  is taken in 2nd half of February.
 We have not considered. A wild card entry for CM post



Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Tarot prediction of Delhi Elections 2013

Delhi Elections 2013 Predictions by Tarot -Part 1   we have done detailed prediction for Delhi Assembly Elections 2013 using a Tarot Card Model B incorporating  and improving the potential prediction accuracy by learning from past errors  


Our key findings are

 1. Substantially Improved performance by Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) relative to TV Channel Survey Predictions

2. Disappointment for BJP but still likely to form government


 3. Bad performance by Congress relative to Channel Surveys and possibly worse


4. We tested seats in Range of ten and BJP -30 AAP 25 -28 Congress 12-14 was one outcome Another outcome Close to TV Survey Predictions is being rejected as AAP is Showing good performance while Congress is clear disappointment


  5. other answers suggest experienced politician possibly V Goel being CM while AAP being deputy CM even though latter have denied tie-up


 6.. In second part we will look at astrology charts for more answers on Issue of CM & deputy CM before continuing with predictions for Chatthisgarh Madhya Pradesh & Rajasthan in that order