Showing posts with label Opinion polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Opinion polls. Show all posts

Thursday, December 18, 2014

Tarot Predictions-Elections outcome in J&K and Jharkhand



Predicting Elections Outcome in Jammu & Kashmir and  Jharkhand


Over past few days we have already tweeted  short form and detailed prediction for outcome likely in states of  Jammu and Kashmir and Jharkhand Results for these state will be declared on December 23

Our short form prediction using Tarot cards for outcome in two states as noted in the previous post was
State
BJP tally
Jharkhand
49
Jammu and  Kashmir
34



The main approach used in detailed prediction model using Tarot cards is inspired  by joint probability distribution concept .We test tarot based likelihood for various seat intervals for  BJP and rest of the parties.We expect to find good probabilities on some numbers/range for different political groups (here two groups  BJP and  non BJP ) which must add up to total seats in the political unit where prediction is being applied.

Our results for JK and Jharkhand are as follow( in  Jharkhand we have clubbed BJP under NDA umbrella- that is BJP plus pre-election allies )

Our results are

Deatiled model  prediction using Tarot cards  for outcome in two states are  
State
BJP/NDA
Jharkhand
43-44(BJP
Jammu and  Kashmir
31-33(NDA)


We also number of questions using tarot to get other answers. This may support or dent the above predictions

  1. Majority or coalition govt in JK-No clear answer but PDP likely major party few seats ahead of  BJP and may form government
  2. 3rd largest party in Jammu and  Kashmir would be 18-21 seats behind leading party which we may  PDP with Mufti Mehbooba likely CM
  3. Astrology of  Jammu and  Kashmir with retrograde Jupiter Mars exalted in 7th however suggests at best coalition govt in  JK,
  4. In Jharkhand  NDA may reach 46-48 seats with allies.


Thursday, November 07, 2013

prediction: chhattisgarh state Election Prediction


We have carried out Election 2013 predictions for chhattisgarh using Tarot supported by Astrology. Keeping our own preference out of view.

Birth time of Dr Raman Singh (12 noon) unlikely to be correct but Moon on voting days favours BJP on Nov 11 but is less clear for Nov 19


Most opinion polls showing Over 50 seats in some case 6o seats to BJP


We asked many questions using Tarot Card
We also tested seat predictions for BJP Congress In range of 25-70 seats In interval of 5 Seats
BJP had only 2 positive Cards for range of 45-50 and 66-70

Whereas Congress had positive cards for less than 25 seats,40-45 seats 61- 65 seats

Further Questions revealed BJP having good but less than satisfactory performance. while Congress not doing not well relative to expectations


Based on still more questions we predict BJP to be about 48 while Congress could manage 40