Tarot Predictions-Elections outcome in J&K and Jharkhand

Predicting Elections Outcome in Jammu & Kashmir and  Jharkhand

Over past few days we have already tweeted  short form and detailed prediction for outcome likely in states of  Jammu and Kashmir and Jharkhand Results for these state will be declared on December 23

Our short form prediction using Tarot cards for outcome in two states as noted in the previous post was

State	BJP tally
Jharkhand	49
Jammu and  Kashmir	34

The main approach used in detailed prediction model using Tarot cards is inspired  by joint probability distribution concept .We test tarot based likelihood for various seat intervals for  BJP and rest of the parties.We expect to find good probabilities on some numbers/range for different political groups (here two groups  BJP and  non BJP ) which must add up to total seats in the political unit where prediction is being applied.

Our results for JK and Jharkhand are as follow( in  Jharkhand we have clubbed BJP under NDA umbrella- that is BJP plus pre-election allies )

Our results are

Deatiled model  prediction using Tarot cards  for outcome in two states are  

State	BJP/NDA
Jharkhand	43-44(BJP
Jammu and  Kashmir	31-33(NDA)

We also number of questions using tarot to get other answers. This may support or dent the above predictions

1. Majority or coalition govt in JK-No clear answer but PDP likely major party few seats ahead of  BJP and may form government
2. 3^rd largest party in Jammu and  Kashmir would be 18-21 seats behind leading party which we may  PDP with Mufti Mehbooba likely CM
3. Astrology of  Jammu and  Kashmir with retrograde Jupiter Mars exalted in 7^th however suggests at best coalition govt in  JK,
4. In Jharkhand  NDA may reach 46-48 seats with allies.